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Nick Timothy
for West Suffolk

Why did the Government increase spending by EIGHT TIMES more than it promised?

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Wednesday, 5 March, 2025
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Labour pretend their tax rises are to be prudent but this is untrue.

In their manifesto they said they’d increase spending by £9.5 billion a year. In the Budget they increased it by £76 billion a year – eight times more.

The Treasury minister couldn’t really explain himself, when he was quizzed by Nick Timothy MP in the House of Commons on Wednesday 26 February 2025.

The full Hansard transcript of the exchange is below (see Column 807):

Nick Timothy MP: The Labour party manifesto said that by the year 2028-29, it would increase spending by £9.5 billion a year. Why, then, did the Budget increase it by £76 billion—eight times more than the Labour manifesto said?

James Murray MP (Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury): As I am sure the hon. Member will know, upon entering Government and speaking to Treasury officials about the state of the public finances, we uncovered a £22 billion black hole, which was known to then Ministers but which the OBR was not informed about.

Nick Timothy MP: Will the Minister give way?

James Murray MP (Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury): I will give way one more time.

Nick Timothy MP: The Minister might have noticed that there is a bigger gap between £9.5 billion and £76 billion than £22 billion. His answer is clearly ridiculous. We are talking about such tax rises not because of the £22 billion fictional black hole, but because of the decision to increase spending by eight times more than the Labour party promised at the election. Will he accept that or not?

James Murray MP (Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury): The hon. Member’s comments are clearly ridiculous if he thinks the £22 billion black hole was fictional. It has real-terms consequences in terms of the pressure—

Nick Timothy MP: Will the Minister give way?

James Murray MP (Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury): I will make some progress as I have been very generous in giving way to the hon. Gentleman. He will know that his colleagues who were in government were aware of the in-year spending pressures and they chose not to share that with the Office for Budget Responsibility and thereby not to share it with the British people. That is the truth of what we inherited, and that is why we had to take difficult decisions. I turn to some of the difficult decisions that we had to take in the Budget last year, because the Opposition motion refers to our decisions on business property relief. I assure hon. Members that the decisions we took on that and on agricultural property relief were not taken lightly. The Government recognise the role that those reliefs play, particularly in supporting small farms and family businesses, and that is why we chose to maintain rather than abolish them, which has meant maintaining significant levels of relief from inheritance tax beyond what is available to others. Indeed, the reliefs will remain more generous than the last time they were changed. The changes we are making mean that agricultural and business property reliefs will be better targeted and fairer. According to the most recent data from His Majesty’s Revenue and Customs, 40% of agricultural property relief benefits the top 7% of estates making claims. It is a similar picture for business property relief, with more than 50% of business property relief claimed by just 4% of estates making claims. Those data bear out the fact that the benefit of the existing 100% relief on business and agricultural assets has become heavily skewed towards the wealthiest estates. It is neither fair nor sustainable to maintain such a large tax break for such a small number of the wealthiest claimants, particularly in the light of the wider pressures on the public finances. That is why we are changing how we target agricultural property relief and business property relief from April next year. Individuals will still benefit from the 100% relief for the first £1 million of combined business and agricultural assets. On top of that amount, there will be 50% relief, which means that inheritance tax will be paid at a reduced effective rate of up to 20%, rather than the standard 40%. That sits on top of the other spousal exemption and nil rate bands, which apply more widely within the inheritance tax system.
 
https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025-02-26/debates/6FCDBAA9-4E36-4D3D-BFF0-319A6366C20A/FamilyBusinesses

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